Category: tensol3

What's your thoughts on domi so far for,t…

What's your thoughts on domi so far for,the habs? Is he actually,living up to expectation?

In terms of point production, yeah, he’s doing very well for them. If he’s going to be a full-time center moving forward though, they need to work on his face-offs. He’s terrible at them, and it doesn’t matter how good of a playmaker he is if he’s never got the puck. As long as he keeps scoring at the same rate he has been, it masks that somewhat, but he’s shooting 24% right now. That number is going to fall of a cliff, probably sooner rather than later, and he’s going to have to figure the other stuff out.

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tensol3 replied to your photo:

@nhlupdate what surprise team do you think maintains their pace and stays?

Is Edmonton a surprise team? Edmonton. Cam Talbot is playing a lot more like he did the season before last than he did last season, his ES save% is back to normal after a significant drop last season, which bodes well. If he stays healthy, I think they’ll stay in it. They’re not wildly off the league average in any statistical category, which generally means there’s not some radical regression due at some point later in the season. If they can bring their PK up a bit, and avoid injury, they’ll be set.

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@tensol3 said:

He is I just wonder if its with the preds. Hes a talent id hate to lose
but you cant pay him to stay around an maybe do well.    

No, you can’t, but that’s not really the situation right now. Unless something drastically changes this season, he’s going to get a bridge deal for his next contract. So you give him two or three years at a fairly decent cap number, time to get his shit together. They have a lot of cost certainty for the next few years with the guys they have locked up, so they can afford to watch him develop for a couple years.

I dont know how many preds games you get to se…

I dont know how many preds games you get to see but whats your thoughts on fiala? The guy seems like he has unlimited potential and he does alot good but i feel he gets lazy/has a mental lapse at time and is pretty snake bitten goal wise.

I don’t watch as many as I’d like to, but I’ve seen him a bit. I think your description is pretty fair. I wouldn’t be too worried about the goals. They’ll come. He’s already proven he can score in the NHL. I think at this point, it’s just down to coaching. Getting him to commit fully, not take plays off, and everything that comes with his role. He’s young, he’ll get there.

What do you make of Erik karlssons slow start?…

What do you make of Erik karlssons slow start? I feel like now that hes on a team,where hes not the focal (and sometimes only) weapon ans has to play a two way game were starting to see he's a bit one dimensional.

Except he’s not really playing a different role than he did in Ottawa, other than more time spent on the penalty kill, an area San Jose is doing very well in right now. There’s this image people have of Erik Karlsson as a forward playing defense, and it’s just not accurate. The guy has been used in tough defensive assignments for five years now. I think the slow start has more to do with his ES ice-time being reduced overall. He’s playing about 2 minutes less at ES than he has for the majority of his career. And some of it seems to be a chemistry thing. For whatever reason, the Sharks aren’t scoring as much with him on the ice, despite the fact they’re shooting more than when anyone else is on the ice. Which bodes well for the future, because things will average out. Over the previous five seasons, his teams have shot no lower than 8% over a full season with him on the ice, and the Sharks are at 6.5% right now. Bump that up to the average, and we’re looking at probably 10/11 points rather than 7, and things are right on track. He’s still driving play, the puck’s just not going in, and that should change.

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@tensol3 replied to your post: How much do you think Matthews gets on his next…                

Do you think Matthews pushes gretzky for 50 in 39 or does he have to
cool off? I cant say hes been eating weak teams alive.    

No, he’s going to cool off. I mean, it would be awesome as fuck to do that, but I’m not gonna hold my breath lol. That’s one of the records I don’t think will ever be broken. But with the way he scores, he’s going to put up serious numbers, especially if he can stay healthy for the entire season. Ovechkin had 43 ES goals his third season, and Stamkos had 48 in his fourth. I think those numbers are in reach, especially if he stays hot at least a little while longer here.

Do you think karlsson adjusts ans plays well i…

Do you think karlsson adjusts ans plays well in the west? With the focus on a more physical play and bigger teams, not that he hasnt seen them twice a year but still hes not the most physical guy. I also worry how much his forward mentality hurts the sharks now that the entire team doesn't play a defensive game behind him like they did in Ottawa. Cause ive seen his d zone play and its nothing worth writing home about.

I get what you’re saying, and I think it will be an adjustment, but with a guy that talented, he’ll make it work. He’s not a shutdown defender, that’s true, but he controls the play better than probably anybody from his position. And for a somewhat interesting comparison, the underlying stats paint him as a slightly better defender than Brent Burns. Not as physical, obviously, but with an edge in shot suppression. Burns is probably the best comparable for him, their size difference aside. I mean, talk about a forward mentality lol. Basically, as long as Vlasic and the rest are there to play hard in the defensive zone, the offensive output from those two is going to make up for whatever defensive slips they have.

Do you think this karlsson trade turns I to,mo…

Do you think this karlsson trade turns I to,more of a curse than a blessing? I know end goal is win a cup but if they don't and he leaves, or worse don't and he resigns, how much of the team do they cannibalize to fit his salary? Especially with a new team likely on the horizon.

No, I don’t think so. If they don’t win and he leaves after this season, their situation isn’t radically different from how it would have been if they’d never traded for him at all. They’re down a few assets, but nothing that isn’t replaceable in fairly short order. If he stays, they’ll probably be pretty tight to the cap, but they’ve got some things working in their favour. One, Big Joe isn’t going to be around much longer, so that money will be off the books one way or another. Pavelski needs an extension, but he’ll be 35 before his next contract kicks in, so whatever he gets, it really shouldn’t be long-term or top-dollar. Aside from Meier and Labanc, they don’t have any RFAs coming who might demand a significant raise, and if they’re winning, I don’t imagine it would be terribly difficult to talk them into some kind of bridge deal to keep costs down for a few years, if it comes to that. They’ve got the majority of their defense already locked down, so there’s cost certainty there, and with Couture, Hertl, and Kane. Basically, they’ll be in the same position all top teams inevitably come to: a high-paid core that demands most of the money while they try to plug in spare parts around them and count on good development to keep new talent flooding in. They can make it work.

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@tensol3 replied to your linkPageau out six months after tearing Achilles -…

Sens need to call the season before this gets worse and Anderson dies on the ice.

They really should. On the positive side, it’s going to be fascinating to watch that team this season. For a lot of reasons. If we’re talking significant trades this season, they’re going to be a go-to team for that. Because they really need to bring back some assets, specifically first round picks. Because, and I don’t mean to pile on all you Senators fans out there, they do not have their first round pick this season. Colorado does. So, they actually have to do something to bring in other assets if they don’t want this “rebuild” to completely stall for a year. What a shit show.

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@tensol3 said:

Like I said as much as I’d hate it I’d go to the preds once josi comes
up cause they’ll have to move at least one of the four. See which one
they think the least of, you’d either get Ellis, Josi, or Subban (I
think Nashville feels way to highly of ekholm to,move him) 

Yeah, maybe. But If I’m Nashville, I’m not moving any of those guys until next year at the earliest. The Josi and Ekholm contracts are so club-friendly, they make it possible for that team to be as loaded as it is and still potentially able to add significant pieces. Those contracts make them super attractive to a bunch of teams, but also make it so Nashville doesn’t need to move any of them to stay cap-compliant. Next season, once Ellis’ extension kicks in and Josi’s eligible to sign an extension, that may change, but for now, it would take one hell of an offer to pry any of the four out of there.